黄金方面：
数据方面看，亚特兰大联储GDPNow模型预计美国第四季度GDP增速为3.2%，此前的预期为3.1%，美国的经济前景并没有变差，黄金价格短期或将承压。
今日早间公布美联储12月份利率决议。美联储在本月的利率决议上降息25个基点，将美国联邦基金利率目标区间降至4.25%～4.50%。而在点阵图中美联储预计明年将降息2次，而9月份的点阵图显示明年将降息4次，明显倾向于鹰派。同时我们也关注到美联储官员对于美国通胀更进一步回落表示担忧，将通胀达到2%的目标水平的时间从之前的2026年推迟到2027年。
百利好特约智昇研究资深分析师辰宇认为，美联储虽然在12月份降息，但是对于美国的经济前景并不悲观，后续降息将更加谨慎，这不利于金价走高。
技术面：日线上，上一个交易日行情强势下行且收阴线，显示短期行情较弱势。指标上看，行情下破62日均线警惕金价进一步走弱风险。日内关注上方2630美元一线压力，下方关注2576美元一线支撑。
原油方面：
地缘政治方面，哈马斯近期表示，分阶段释放被扣押人员以及停火协议谈判取得重大进展，停火协议第一阶段为期42天。倘若加沙停火协议得以达成，短期将施压油价。不过近期市场的焦点在于欧美再度围攻俄罗斯，欧盟委员会主席表示，欧盟正在制定第16轮对俄罗斯的制裁方案，欧美对俄罗斯的极限施压，又将限制油价跌幅。
供给端来看，美国的原油产量几乎处于天花板级别的水平，后续进一步增产的可能性不大。欧佩克+也在本月初延长减产时间，这意味着原油供给端短期仍将为油价提供支撑。需求端看，东方经济大国采取适度宽松的货币政策，有利于改善原油需求。这意味着原油下跌空间或将受限。
技术面：日线上，近期行情处于相对低位震荡调整，短期或将延续。指标上看，行情处于20日和62日均线上方运行，短期多头仍然占优。日内关注上方71.50美元一线压力，下方关注69美元一线支撑。
【重要声明：上述内容及观点由第三方合作平台智昇提供，仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议，投资者据此操作，风险自担。】
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